Purpose: The purpose of this study was to determine if the inactivation kinetics of a spore under commercial thermal processing conditions was better represented by a sub-lethal adaptation model than by the first-order or Weibull models.
Methods: Previous dynamic data were used. Cans (6 cm dia., 3.48 cm height) were filled with pea puree inoculated with Bacillus stearothermophilus ATCC 7953 spores at ~9.5 x 105 CFU/ml. The cans were heated in duplicate at three different steam temperatures (104.4, 112.8, 120.6°C) for heating times from 21 to 305 min, for a total of 24 samples. Each can’s mass-average spore concentration was both enumerated using a non-selective media and incubation at 55°C, and computed using three different models. Parameters were estimated using an inverse method.
Results: Log-reductions ranged up to 2.5. The first-order model performance was poor, as shown by a 0.24 log CFU/ml RMSE and AICc = -62.8. The Weibull model was significantly better, with RMSE = 0.12 log CFU/ml, AICc = -95.6. The best model was the Weibull with sub-lethal term: RMSE = 0.098 log CFU/ml, AICc = -100.6. The parameter errors for d105°C = 3.2%, for z = 2.8%, and for n = 9.4%.
Significance: The results of this work indicate that for thermally-processed foods with different heating rates, sub-lethal history may affect prediction of survivors. Process designers and researchers may consider using experiments more representative of commercial processes.